Another hire may not clear the queue.
Fictional demonstration—not a diagnosis of Big Leap's operations.
1The owner question
Should we approve a generalist hire for Growth Pod A?
2What each team sees
Pod lead
Work is late; more hands are needed.
Resource planning
Production hours are available.
Project management
Critical tasks wait on technical review.
Each team's report looks fine. Connecting them changes the decision.
3Connect the evidence
4What does not reconcile
- RECORDMedian review wait 6.5 days vs 1.8 days of production.
- INFERENCEAdding production may lengthen the review backlog.
- SCENARIOTargeted review coverage costs $14,000 vs $30,000 for the hire.
A difference between systems is not necessarily an error.
5Financial bridge
Proposed expenditure · 90 days (lower is better)
- SCENARIOHire a generalist: $9,000 × 3 + $3,000 recruiting = $30,000
- SCENARIOTargeted specialist review: 90 h × $120 + $3,200 setup = $14,000
- SCENARIOReview needs more hours at higher rate: 180 h × $160 + $3,200 setup = $32,000
6Compare decisions
Verify before acting
Advantage vs baseline: $16,000 · Targeted review stays cheaper below 223.3 review hours at $120/h.
These options buy different capabilities. The comparison depends on technical review being the actual constraint. The difference is avoided proposed expenditure only if the hire can be deferred — not realized savings.
7Why we might be wrong
INFERENCEStale task statuses or a temporary surge exaggerate the bottleneck.
- Evidence strength
- Timestamps recorded; causality inferred.
- Execution dependencies
- Availability of a qualified reviewer.
- Financial sensitivity
- Break-even depends on review hours and rate.
- Client or contractual approval
- None.
- Timing uncertainty
- Surge could be temporary.
8Next action
- Recommendation
- Test targeted review coverage before approving a generalist hire.
- Accountable role
- Head of Operations
- Verification needed
- Refresh task statuses and confirm two weeks of review wait times.
- Reversal trigger
- Validated workload shows a persistent general-production shortage, or targeted coverage is no longer economically attractive.
- Excluded benefits
- Avoided expenditure is not realized savings.
- Capacity the hire would add elsewhere is not valued.
