Big Leap

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Simulated business data | Decidian intelligence demonstration DEMONSTRATION MODE — SAVED RESULTS
SIMULATED OPERATIONS DATAGrowth Pod A · 90 days · Avoided proposed expenditure

Another hire may not clear the queue.

Fictional demonstration—not a diagnosis of Big Leap's operations.

1The owner question

Should we approve a generalist hire for Growth Pod A?

2What each team sees

Pod lead

Work is late; more hands are needed.

Resource planning

Production hours are available.

Project management

Critical tasks wait on technical review.

Each team's report looks fine. Connecting them changes the decision.

3Connect the evidence

4What does not reconcile

Shared resource constraintUntested causal assumption
  • RECORDMedian review wait 6.5 days vs 1.8 days of production.
  • INFERENCEAdding production may lengthen the review backlog.
  • SCENARIOTargeted review coverage costs $14,000 vs $30,000 for the hire.

A difference between systems is not necessarily an error.

5Financial bridge

Proposed expenditure · 90 days (lower is better)

  • SCENARIOHire a generalist: $9,000 × 3 + $3,000 recruiting = $30,000
  • SCENARIOTargeted specialist review: 90 h × $120 + $3,200 setup = $14,000
  • SCENARIOReview needs more hours at higher rate: 180 h × $160 + $3,200 setup = $32,000

6Compare decisions

Hire a generalist · baseline$30,000
Targeted specialist review · intervention$14,000
Review needs more hours at higher rate · downside$32,000

Verify before acting

Advantage vs baseline: $16,000 · Targeted review stays cheaper below 223.3 review hours at $120/h.

These options buy different capabilities. The comparison depends on technical review being the actual constraint. The difference is avoided proposed expenditure only if the hire can be deferred — not realized savings.

7Why we might be wrong

INFERENCEStale task statuses or a temporary surge exaggerate the bottleneck.

Evidence strength
Timestamps recorded; causality inferred.
Execution dependencies
Availability of a qualified reviewer.
Financial sensitivity
Break-even depends on review hours and rate.
Client or contractual approval
None.
Timing uncertainty
Surge could be temporary.

8Next action

Recommendation
Test targeted review coverage before approving a generalist hire.
Accountable role
Head of Operations
Verification needed
Refresh task statuses and confirm two weeks of review wait times.
Reversal trigger
Validated workload shows a persistent general-production shortage, or targeted coverage is no longer economically attractive.
Excluded benefits
  • Avoided expenditure is not realized savings.
  • Capacity the hire would add elsewhere is not valued.

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