Test a decision · Simulated data
Does the growth plan improve profit after delivery costs?
DEC-FIN-009 · MODELED TOTAL OPERATING PROFIT
Simulated demonstration dataRevenue growth is masking declining profitability
Decision: Does the growth plan improve profit after delivery costs?
Financial impact
$280,240
First-year modeled profit · not incremental benefit
Evidence
Additional Verification Needed
24 source records
Recommendation
Prioritize profitable customer segments, pricing and delivery efficiency before accelerating acquisition.
Assumptions, risks & what would change the recommendation
Assumptions
- Fictional records are internally consistent; validate real contracts and usage before acting
Key risks
- Slower growth
- Client resistance to pricing
- Execution cost
Would change it
- Planned hiring may change capacity
- One-off delivery problems may not recur
Evidence-linked decision
Revenue growth is masking declining profitability
Modeled total operating profit · fictional records and app calculations · separate from company-wide strategy totals
Original Finding · DEC-FIN-009 · $280,240
BL-DEMO-2026-10-V1 · analysis 2026-10-28T18:10:00Z
Baseline Scenario
Created 2026-10-29T07:22:24.108Z. Changes below affect only this scenario, never the original finding.
| Decision alternative | Gross annual | First-year net | Ongoing annualized | Implementation | Penalties | Break-even |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
A · Maintain current approach Underlying exposure continues | See finding | $0 | $0 | $0 | Not modeled | Scenario dependent |
B · Implement targeted improvement Slower growth | See finding | −$827,114 | −$1,076,152 | $20,000 | Not modeled | Scenario dependent |
C · Pilot before wider rollout Slower realization; pilot may not generalize | See finding | −$325,878 | −$538,076 | $12,000 | Not modeled | Scenario dependent |
Alternatives use explicit realization and delay assumptions. Pilot realizes half the proposed benefit, two months later, with 60% of implementation expense. Not a forecast or live recommendation.
Optional live review uses Ask Decidian and may take 1–2 minutes. Source records and current assumptions are sent only when requested.
Test a different finding
Company-wide strategy test
Separate company model · These assumptions and results do not change the selected finding.
Company-wide financial assumptions
Company-wide scenario
Company-wide strategy comparison
| Measure | Strategy A — Aggressive Growth | Strategy B — Profitability FirstMODEL LEADER | Strategy C — Balanced Strategy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Incremental revenue (first year) | $762K | $90K | $381K |
| Incremental revenue (run-rate) | $1.52M | $180K | $762K |
| Incremental operating profit (first year) | −$130K | $280K | $60K |
| Incremental operating profit (run-rate) | $249K | $979K | $458K |
| Cash impact (first year) | −$224K | $620K | $13K |
| Downside exposure (severe vs. base) | $7,292 | −$42K | −$51K |
| Implementation cost | $140K | $250K | $145K |
| Break-even timing | Month 10 | Month 6 | Month 7 |
| Primary risks |
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App calculation Model leader = highest average of base and severe-case first-year operating profit impact. Scenarios are illustrative; no probabilities are assigned. Cash, revenue and profit are separate measures.
Company-wide profit bridge
- Current operating profit$1,817,600
- Scenario effect on existing business$0
- Leakage reduction$200,160
- Growth & pricing contribution$144,753
- Implementation & operating costs−$284,960
- Projected operating profit$1,877,553
Operating profit only — gross revenue opportunities are not counted as profit. First-year applies ramp-up timing and includes one-time implementation costs.
Company-wide Decidian interpretation
Challenge the company strategy
Run the stress test first, then challenge the recommendation.
